Is the Cryptoasset Crash Linked to the Stock Market’s Selloff?

Is the Cryptoasset Crash Linked to the Stock Market’s Selloff?

Over the weekend, a significant crash in the cryptoasset market occurred, and it has sparked discussions about its correlation with the stock market's recent selloff on February 5, 2018. This article delves into the reasons behind this apparent connection and explores whether this is a sign of market weakness or simply a coincidence.

Understanding the Cryptoasset Crash

The cryptoasset crash is often seen as a result of various factors, primarily the lack of deep conviction among crypto speculators. Unlike traditional investments, such as stocks in the SP 500, most cryptoassets have no intrinsic value, making them purely speculative tools. This inherent speculative nature often leads to sudden and dramatic price swings.

Some experts in the crypto space are already suggesting that sellers should exit the market if the stock market continues to plummet. According to them, this behavior is characteristic of 'weak hands,' or those who are not resilient to market fluctuations. As of 24 hours prior, the stock market was down 4.1%, while Bitcoin, often considered the 'lowest risk' coin, had a significant drop, over 600 in value, much more than the SP 500.

The volatility seen in Bitcoin and other cryptoassets highlights a lack of value as a store of wealth. Instead, cryptoassets are seen as a store of fail, attracting speculators willing to risk everything on speculative outcomes.

Why Bitcoin as a Store of Value?

Some argue that decentralized currencies like Bitcoin can function as a store of value due to their limited supply and inherent value. However, recent events challenge this notion. For instance, studies and articles point out an inverse correlation between the stock market’s volatility and Bitcoin’s price. When the stock market experiences high volatility, indicated by the VIX index, Bitcoin prices tend to fall, suggesting that investors are seeking safer alternatives, such as stocks in the SP 500.

A 2018 CNN article detailed this inverse relationship, stating that when the overall market is down, people generally avoid additional risks, making cryptoassets less appealing. The increased interest rates set by the Federal Reserve in the United States also contribute to this phenomenon. Higher interest rates can lead to decreased consumer spending and increased inflation, which are not favorable signals for the stock market and, by extension, cryptoassets.

The Role of Weak Hands in Crypto Speculation

The term 'weak hands' is often used to describe investors who are not prepared for the volatility and risks associated with cryptoassets. These investors are more likely to panic-sell during market downturns, leading to further price drops. The recent selloffs in both the stock market and cryptoassets showcase the susceptibility of speculators who lack deep conviction.

It is important to note that while the stock market has shown resilience with a 4.1% drop, cryptoassets have faced a more dramatic decline. This disparity highlights the risk associated with investing in such speculative assets. As an example, even after a significant correction, Venezuela, a country experiencing hyperinflation, still encouraged holding Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation. Yet, even with these conditions, the value of Bitcoin plummeted by 70%, indicating that the crypto market's performance is largely driven by speculative behaviors rather than intrinsic value.

Conclusion and Disclaimer

While some cryptoasset enthusiasts argue that the market is merely reflecting broader economic conditions, the recent downturn prompts a critical look at the underlying factors driving the crypto market. The inverse correlation with the stock market, increased interest rates, and investor sentiment all contribute to the current landscape. It is essential for investors to remember that cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and inherently speculative. If you are considering investing, it is crucial to do thorough research and understand the risks involved.

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