Will Scotland Now Leave Britain Because of the Brexit Vote?

Many in Scotland feel that England's relentless push for tighter control over Scotland's identity and interests may be driving a wedge between the two, and the recent Brexit vote has certainly added fuel to the fire. Some Scots argue that if England keeps asserting its dominance, why isn't there a push for Scottish independence? The English and Scottish are not just neighbors and family; they are separate nations with distinct histories and identities.

Current Trends and the SNP Perspective

According to current trends, Scotland will remain a part of the UK for now. However, things could change if the people of Scotland decide otherwise. The SNP (Scottish National Party) is a strong advocate for Scottish independence, and their stance on Brexit has intensified this push.

The Impact of Brexit on Scotland

There are two key charts that can help us understand the impact of Brexit on Scotland. The first is from the London School of Economics (LSE), which delves into the specific effects of Brexit on Scotland. The second set of figures come from the Scottish government, which, interestingly, have not been updated after 2019 due to the SNP's reluctance to share them.

Historical Context: The 2014 Independence Vote

In 2014, the Scottish people voted on whether to become independent. At that time, the EU membership was not a major factor in the campaign, but it has certainly influenced the current sentiment. The Brexit vote has added another layer of grievance, making Scots feel like they never get what they want. This has led some to argue that the SNP used the referendum as a tool to rally their supporters, feeding into the narrative of dissatisfaction.

Why Isn't England Pushing for Independence?

It's worth noting that many Scots have traditionally been more skeptical of the EU than any other political party in the UK. However, this skepticism has shifted, and now the EU is often used as a political tool rather than a symbol of unity or disagreement. This reveals a vacuous and misguided approach by the SNP to policy-making.

The Certainty of Scottish Independence

While it is still uncertain whether Scotland will become independent, the growing dissatisfaction with the UK and the impact of Brexit have led many to believe it is all but certain. The challenge now is for the SNP and other independence supporters to seize this opportunity and create a compelling case for Scottish independence.

Key Factors for the SNP's Success

The SNP needs to ensure they have a strong, well-crafted campaign. History shows that even seemingly inevitable outcomes can be derailed by poor strategy, arrogance, and a lack of compassion. The lies and false promises of the 2014 referendum, combined with the challenges posed by Brexit and the ongoing issues with the British government, have placed the SNP in a powerful position to secure Scotland's freedom. However, they must be prepared to address the challenges and present a clear, compelling vision for the future.

As the UK stands at a crossroads, the future of Scotland is one of the most pressing issues. The next few years will determine whether Scotland remains part of the UK or embarks on its journey to independence. The outcome will depend on how the SNP, and other advocates for independence, present their case and engage the Scottish people.