BJP's Return to Power in Gujarat: An Analysis of Upcoming Elections
The 2022 Gujarat state election is set to be a decisive moment for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its rivals, Congress and Aam Aadmi Party (AAP). The BJP, which has ruled Gujarat for the last 27 years, is expected to reclaim its position at the helm of the state's government.
Current Political Scenario
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) governs Gujarat now. With a 27-year history of leadership in the state, the BJP's influence remains strong. The Bharatiya Janata Party is leading the race with remarkable support across the state. Key figures in this political climate include Bhupendra Rajnikant Patel, the current Chief Minister of Gujarat, who won the recent elections with a strong mandate.
Exit Polls and Opinions
Exit polls and public rallies conducted by various organizations indicate a positive trend for the BJP. News channels and poll agencies are expected to report that the BJP will maintain its stronghold on the 182-member legislature.
The BJP is projected to win a majority of the 120 seats in the upcoming Gujarat Vidhan Sabha election, with some exit polls suggesting the party may win as many as 135 seats compared to 47 for Congress. If the predictions come true, Prime Minister Narendra Modi's BJP campaign will once again triumph over the Congress in Gujarat.
Key Regional Factors
The BJP succeeded in attracting support from various backward communities such as Kolis, Prajapatis, Chaudharies, and Bharwads by courting these large population groups. Additionally, factors like the Narmada water reaching Kutch through Saurashtra, the respite from north Gujarat floods, and surge in milk prices have bolstered the BJP's popularity.
In the northern Gujarat and Saurashtra regions, the young campaigning team of Hardik Patel, Alpesh Thakor, and Jignesh Mevani has gained significant traction. Although AAP is making a bid for seats, it is anticipated to win fewer than 10 seats, and the Congress vote share is projected to remain around 41-43%, similar to the 2012 elections.
Conclusion
The BJP's return to power in Gujarat is a significant event in the political landscape of the state. If the exit polls and recent trends hold true, Gujarat's state government will once again be under BJP control, marking another victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's campaign in the state.